Scenario planning
He is right, of course, to argue that the SNP will have to review its strategy. But that strategy can legitimately be an oppositionist one of making sure the unionist parties stick to their pledges of enhanced powers that go beyond the Scotland Act 2012.
It is not realistic, however, to ask a party committed to independence to join in a forum that is essentially about making devolution work better. The SNP is not a party of devolution.
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Hide AdThe present Holyrood government makes the existing settlement, with its limited parameters, work. It should continue to do so after September even if a No vote temporarily dents its confidence. Its majority party will be entitled to make the case for independence again at next year’s May election.
The SNP might be still be in a strong position to do so if Westminster is seen to vacillate on extending the devolution settlement.
The Scottish Government’s powers to hold a referendum expire at the end of the year. They are unlikely to be renewed for a generation.
The case for independence in the aftermath of a No vote may have to be made by the SNP holding the balance of power at Westminster and continuing with a reputation for competence in managing Holyrood.
Bob Taylor
Shiel Court
Glenrothes